Some thoughts on gun control

I tend to think that gun control will be ineffective if the focus on eliminating future sales of firearm types continues. As pointed out in several articles lately, the number of firearms already in the hands of Americans makes future sales the least effective means of control. Similarly, limits on the sale of ammunition are also grabbing the wrong end of the stick. So, why not impose the restrictions where they are needed – on the owners and users of firearms.

If we consider the licensing of motor vehicle operators, we see that, in general, the restrictions take the form of denying access to those deemed too dangerous to operate any vehicle and then defining license classes for vehicles of increasing hazard. Why not a similar system for owners and handlers (operators) of firearms? Level 1 (or perhaps no license required) for limited range/limited capacity weapons (focus here is on limited damage potential) such as single-shot .22s, single- and double-barrel shotguns. Level 2 requires background check and training/testing for revolvers, bolt-action hunting rifles, pump or semi-automatic shotguns with limited magazine capacity, etc. Level 3 requires additional training/certification, more stringent background checks, and medical/psych evaluation for “military” style weapons with  large magazines, high-velocity ammunition, etc. – in other words, the ability to cause considerable harm at a considerable distance in a short time.

Licensing would be mandatory for anyone owning or operating (having in their possession) a weapon. Licensing violations would be federal offenses at the felony level (conviction would revoke future privileges to own or operate firearms. So, yes, criminals could illegally obtain weapons and use them but would face stiff federal penalties in addition to whatever the state assessed as a sentence. Under this plan, simply being in possession of a firearm without the appropriate license would guarantee jail time.

Sure, it leads to a national registry of firearms, gun owners, and licensed operators but so what? This is hardly an infringement of anybody’s “right” and is hardly going to encourage the government to institute a tyrannical state. To those who claim they would resist foreign or domestic military forces with their collection of weapons, I can only say, “Wake up, grow up, and get real”. Your deer rifle, shotgun, or AR-15 look-alike is not likely to make much of an impression on the special forces of most modern nations (especially the US) – and, if it does, they call in the armor or an air strike.

Whistling in the graveyard?

Much discussion lately of the likelihood of North Korea having mated a nuclear warhead to a missile. Most commentators seem to think that the presumed lack of that level of sophistication provides the world with a measure of safety. I don’t want to rain in anybody’s parade, but let me remind those folks that the only nuclear explosives used in war were clunky things delivered by propeller-driven aircraft with a cruising speed (according to a Boeing web site) of 220 mph.

The North Koreans cannot defeat the US with their nuclear arsenal and, from news accounts, would most likely never be able to do so. We need to examine how they might define a victory with only one detonation.

The problem we need to keep de-focused on is: What are all of the possible configurations for a North Korean nuclear explosive and how many different ways are there to deliver them to the US or other targets? The concentration on missile delivery of a sophisticated warhead is dangerous and (I hope) limited to the media.

The North Korea Mess

North Korea seems hell-bent on provoking a renewal of war on the peninsula. The US should be especially wary that they will attempt to “validate” their nuclear weapons program, missile technology, and political posturing all in one fell swoop. How? If they truly have nuclear explosives (as opposed to nuclear weapons), one possibility would be to load one (or more) on a ship or ships, send the vessel to a US port, and detonate it. Timing it to the launch of a missile would be icing on the cake, but they could always claim that the missile was so stealthy that the US failed to detect the launch. They get credit for a nuclear attack on the US (or Japan or South Korea), credit for a successful missle program, credit for fooling the US intelligence agencies, etc. They also get (amazingly, in my mind) a measure of protection since the US would be hard-pressed to “prove” they did it – everything we do to prove they did it increases the extent to which it appears we regard them as a real threat and (perhaps more importantly) as an equal.

Caution: this analysis is based solely upon what I have read on the InterNet and in the newspaper. By at least one account, the cease-fire agreement which ended the Korean hostilities (meaning overt, armed conflict) in the 1950s was between North Korea and South Korea, the United States, and the United Nations (on whose behalf the US and other nations joined the conflict). If that is the case, then perhaps it is time for a member nation of the UN (preferably one not widely viewed as a US stooge) to introduce a resolution accepting the North Korean public disavowal of that cease-fire and declaring that a state of war now exists between North Korea and the United Nations. Properly equipped with provisions for maritime embargo, no-fly zone (including commercial flights), suspension of commerce, and denial of all forms of electronic communication along with freezing of all assets outside their boundaries, such a declaration could allow North Korea to discover the joys of being at war with the entire world. The Economist on-line today had an excellent analysis to support the thesis that it is time to show the North Koreans what happens when the world takes them seriously – I simply propose a mechanism for that demonstration.

Should they persist (and that, in my opinion, is highly probable), the UN could request that the US and other member states undertake pre-emptive or preventative actions such as destroying the missile claimed to be deployed on the sea coast (one salvo from the main batteries aboard the USS Missouri could do the job and show that the North Koreans don’t even warrant modern technologies to deny their aspirations).Should they carry out their threat to execute a nuclear strike on the US or allied nations, Well, the President has said he wants to draw down the US nuclear stockpile…